Nice vs Estac Troyes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Riviera, Nice
The Footlab model makes Nice the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nice vs Estac Troyes?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Nice (1,957) and Estac Troyes (1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nice have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Estac Troyes have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nice win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Estac Troyes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2023 | Estac Troyes 0-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Nice 3-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Nice 1-0 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-0 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 1, 2018 | Estac Troyes 0-2 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Nice 1-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nice score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nice sit 12th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Estac Troyes sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Estac Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nice vs Estac Troyes?
- The Footlab model makes Nice the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Nice vs Estac Troyes played?
- Nice vs Estac Troyes is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Riviera, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.