Caen vs Estac Troyes: result 2-4 and analysis
Coupe de France32th FinalsKick-off on January 7, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
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What was the result of Caen vs Estac Troyes?
Estac Troyes won 2-4 on January 7, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 10′Thiago XavierEstac Troyes
- 43′Raphaël CaceresEstac Troyes
- 66′R. HamoumaCaen
- 76′F. FajrCaen
- 101′Marcos Roberto Pereira dos SantosEstac Troyes
- 113′S. GraxEstac Troyes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Estac Troyes have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | Lorient(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Nancy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 2, 2011 | Marseille(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Bordeaux(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2011 | Boulogne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 16, 2011 | Reims(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Raon l'Etape(away) | 6-6 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 2, 2011 | Istres(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 25, 2011 | Le Havre(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy