Caen vs Marseille: result 1-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Full time
What was the result of Caen vs Marseille?
Marseille won 1-2 on October 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 74′A. RomaoMarseille
- 84′Yrondu Musavu-KingCaen
- 90′A. GignacMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Marseille have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Lens(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 24, 2014 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Toulouse(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Rennes(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 23, 2014 | Reims(away) | 5-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Rennes(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Evian TG(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2014 | Nice(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Caen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Marseille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2012 | Marseille 1-1 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 10, 2012 | Caen 0-3 Marseille | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Dec 2, 2011 | Caen 1-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2011 | Caen 2-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 7, 2010 | Marseille 1-2 Caen | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 2.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Marseille | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy