Caen vs Toulouse: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 1, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
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What was the result of Caen vs Toulouse?
Caen won 1-0 on October 1, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 64′I. SantiniCaen (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Toulouse have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2016 | Bordeaux(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-6 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Rennes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Bastia(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2016 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Lille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Guingamp(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Bastia(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Toulouse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | Toulouse 2-0 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Caen 1-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Caen 2-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Toulouse 3-3 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Caen 0-1 Toulouse | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Jan 28, 2012 | Toulouse 1-0 Caen | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy