Caerau (Ely) vs Abergavenny Town: result 4-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 1Kick-off on July 29, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Abergavenny Town?
Caerau (Ely) won 4-0 on July 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 32′?Caerau (Ely)
- 53′?Caerau (Ely)
- 71′?Caerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 81′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Abergavenny Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2021 | Brecon Corinthians(home) | 3-8 | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Cwmamman United FC(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 4-4 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2023 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 31, 2023 | llanelli AFC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Abergavenny Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Abergavenny Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Abergavenny Town?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy