Caerau (Ely) vs Bala Town: result 1-4 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on December 9, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Bala Town?
Bala Town won 1-4 on December 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 16′K. AbsalomBala Town
- 32′A. EdwardsBala Town
- 43′G. NewellBala Town
- 44′N. ArsanBala Town
- 75′J. AshfordCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Bala Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 3, 2023 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 27, 2023 | llanelli AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | Penybont(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Bala Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy