Caerau (Ely) vs Brecon Corinthians: result 4-0 and analysis
Welsh Cup3rd RoundKick-off on December 5, 2015 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Brecon Corinthians?
Caerau (Ely) won 4-0 on December 5, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 10 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Brecon Corinthians have 2, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | Goytre United(away) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Undy Athletic(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | Aberbargoed Buds(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Aberaeron(away) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-5 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 3.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 14; Brecon Corinthians score 2.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 3.6 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/14 | 12/14 |
| Brecon Corinthians | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2015Port Talbot Town2-1Cambrian & Clydach
- Dec 5, 2015Cardiff MET2-0STM Sports
- Dec 5, 2015Carmarthen Town1-3Bala Town
- Dec 5, 2015Cefn Druids AFC1-0Rhyl
- Dec 5, 2015Barry Town6-1Denbigh Town
- Dec 5, 2015Llandudno0-0Buckley Town
- Dec 5, 2015Haverfordwest County AFC0-2Airbus UK
- Dec 5, 2015Afan Lido1-0Holywell