Caerau (Ely) vs Cardiff Corinthians: result 3-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup1st RoundKick-off on September 15, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Cardiff Corinthians?
Caerau (Ely) won 3-2 on September 15, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cardiff Corinthians have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Briton Ferry(away) | 3-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Afan Lido(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-8 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Treowen Stars(away) | 6-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Penydarren BGC(home) | 0-3 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Corinthians score 1.3 and concede 2.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Cardiff Corinthians | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2 | 2/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy