Caerau (Ely) vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: result 0-2 and analysis
Welsh CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 16, 2025 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
GAP Connah S Quay FC won 0-2 on February 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′R. HughesGAP Connah S Quay FC
- 55′N. EdwardsGAP Connah S Quay FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; GAP Connah S Quay FC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Penybont(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; GAP Connah S Quay FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy