Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: result 1-2 and analysis
Welsh CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 1, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
GAP Connah S Quay FC won 1-2 on March 1, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 25′R. HughesGAP Connah S Quay FC
- 28′G. EdwardsCaernarfon Town
- 63′M. WildeGAP Connah S Quay FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; GAP Connah S Quay FC have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | The New Saints(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Newtown AFC(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 2-6 | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Barry Town(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Bangor City(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | Bala Town(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Barry Town(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2019 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 6-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Newtown AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 GAP Connah S Quay FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 6-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 0-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 0-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town on Feb 8, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; GAP Connah S Quay FC score 2.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy