Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Barry Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town?
On Elo ratings, Barry Town has 2,005 points and Caernarfon Town 2,006.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barry Town
4-3-3- 7N. Daley
- 9J. Crosbie
- 20E. Dugan
- 2M. George
- 8D. Barton
- 21J. Shaw
- 3E. Williams
- 24W. Richards
- 4C. Sainty
- 16J. Lester
- 31G. Ratcliffe
Caernarfon Town
4-3-3- 11A. Cieślewicz
- 9Z. Clarke
- 10O. Evans
- 6J. Canavan
- 14N. Edwards
- 19S. Bradley
- 16B. Nash
- 23C. Marriott
- 27R. Sears
- 5P. Mooney
- 13H. Thomas
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tredegar Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 9-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barry Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Caernarfon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caernarfon Town 0-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Barry Town 2-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Barry Town 2-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 5-2 Barry Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 2.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 6th in Premier League (25 points from 13 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 4th (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
A question about Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Barry Town.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town played?
- Barry Town vs Caernarfon Town is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.