Caernarfon Town vs Lex XI: result 5-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup1st RoundKick-off on October 7, 2017 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Lex XI?
Caernarfon Town won 5-1 on October 7, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lex XI have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | Bala Town(home) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Llanfair United(away) | 7-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Rhyl(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Llangefni Town(away) | 6-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Corwen(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lex XI score 1.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 3.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Lex XI | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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