Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueChampionship Round - 4Kick-off on February 22, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town won 3-2 on February 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′A. DaviesCaernarfon Town
- 51′A. DaviesCaernarfon Town
- 57′J. CrolePenybont
- 63′J. CrolePenybont
- 72′B. HudsonCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penybont have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | The New Saints(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Flint Town United(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | The New Saints(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Newtown AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Penybont win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 1-5 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Penybont 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Penybont 3-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Penybont 5-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont on Nov 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Penybont | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy