Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueChampionship Round - 4Kick-off on February 22, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town won 3-2 on February 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′A. DaviesCaernarfon Town
- 51′A. DaviesCaernarfon Town
- 57′J. CrolePenybont
- 63′J. CrolePenybont
- 72′B. HudsonCaernarfon Town
Official lineup for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Caernarfon Town
- AA. Davies
- LL. Lloyd
- MM. Hill
- PPaulo Mendes
- SS. Downey
- JJ. Lock
- BB. Hudson
- PP. Mooney
- RR. Sears
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- BBen Hughes
Penybont
- CC. Venables
- KK. Reffell
- KK. Georgievsky
- JJ. Crole
- CC. Green
- OOwen Robert Pritchard
- KK. Owen
- BB. Morgan
- JJoseph Michael Woodiwiss
- GG. Kircough
- AA. Przybek
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penybont have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | The New Saints(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Flint Town United(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | The New Saints(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Newtown AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caernarfon Town win, 0 draws, 5 Penybont wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 1-5 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Penybont 2-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 3-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Penybont 3-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Penybont 5-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont on Nov 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Penybont | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 4th in Premier League (26 points from 13 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
A question about Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy