Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 6Kick-off on September 14, 2019 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town won 3-2 on September 14, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 2′L. SmithCaernarfon Town
- 7′N. WoodPenybont
- 17′Robert Jamie BreeseCaernarfon Town
- 45′C. Jemmett-HutsonPenybont
- 90′J. CrowtherCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Penybont have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2019 | Barry Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2019 | Airbus UK(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2019 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2019 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2019 | Bala Town(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2019 | The New Saints(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2019 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2019 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2019 | Barry Town(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Penybont | 2.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy