Caernarfon Town vs Rhyl: result 3-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 28, 2017 at 05:15 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Rhyl?
Caernarfon Town won 3-2 on January 28, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Rhyl have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Llangefni Town(away) | 6-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 30, 2016 | Conwy Borough(away) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Goytre AFC(away) | 2-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Llandudno Junction(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | Llandudno(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Bala Town(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Bala Town(away) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2016 | The New Saints(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 12; Rhyl score 1.5 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/12 | 10/12 |
| Rhyl | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy