Llanfair United vs Cefn Druids AFC: result 4-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 28, 2017 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mount Field, Llanfair Caereinion
Full time
What was the result of Llanfair United vs Cefn Druids AFC?
Llanfair United won 4-1 on January 28, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Llanfair United have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Cefn Druids AFC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | Corwen(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Flint Town United(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Llanidloes Town(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 3-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Hawarden Rangers(away) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2016 | The New Saints(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2016 | The New Saints(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2016 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanfair United score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 10; Cefn Druids AFC score 1.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanfair United | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/10 | 8/10 |
| Cefn Druids AFC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy