Llanfair United vs Cefn Druids AFC: result 4-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 28, 2017 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mount Field, Llanfair Caereinion
Full time
What was the result of Llanfair United vs Cefn Druids AFC?
Llanfair United won 4-1 on January 28, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Llanfair United have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Cefn Druids AFC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | Corwen(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Flint Town United(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Llanidloes Town(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 3-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Hawarden Rangers(away) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2016 | The New Saints(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2016 | The New Saints(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2016 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanfair United score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 10; Cefn Druids AFC score 1.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanfair United | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/10 | 8/10 |
| Cefn Druids AFC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy