Caernarfon Town vs Trefelin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Trefelin?
Caernarfon Town starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,999 vs 1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caernarfon Town vs Trefelin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caernarfon Town
4-3-3- 11A. Cieślewicz
- 9Z. Clarke
- 10O. Evans
- 6J. Canavan
- 14N. Edwards
- 19S. Bradley
- 16B. Nash
- 23C. Marriott
- 27R. Sears
- 5P. Mooney
- 13H. Thomas
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Trefelin have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 9-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Caernarfon Town win, 0 draws, 0 Trefelin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trefelin 0-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Trefelin | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 4th in Premier League (26 points from 13 matches) and Trefelin sit 15th (6 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Caernarfon Town vs Trefelin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caernarfon Town vs Trefelin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Caernarfon Town vs Trefelin played?
- Caernarfon Town vs Trefelin is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Oval, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.