Colwyn Bay vs Holywell: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Holywell. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Holywell?
Colwyn Bay starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,663).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colwyn Bay vs Holywell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colwyn Bay
4-3-3- 11J. Davies
- 7J. Kenny
- 9A. Davies
- 22D. Poole
- 8C. Bratley
- 16J. Williams
- 4N. Peate
- 5L. Sirrell
- 3S. Hart
- 6S. Forde
- 1M. Halstead
Holywell
4-3-3- 27M. Yonsian
- 18Caio Hughes
- 19J. Sconce
- 34R. Edwards
- 8T. Dogan
- 7T. Bibby
- 12Jack Tierney
- 6D. Sullivan
- 3M. Davies
- 2Casey Bedford
- 1A. Swindell
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 07:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Holywell have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llay Miners Welfare(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Colwyn Bay wins, 0 draws, 1 Holywell win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Holywell 0-5 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Holywell 0-2 Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Colwyn Bay 2-0 Holywell | FAW Championship |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Colwyn Bay 1-3 Holywell | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Holywell 1-6 Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Holywell 0-1 Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holywell vs Colwyn Bay on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 1.1 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Holywell | 1.1 | 3.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 5th in Premier League (26 points from 14 matches) and Holywell sit 16th (2 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 26 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 2 |
A question about Colwyn Bay vs Holywell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Holywell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Holywell.
- Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Holywell played?
- Colwyn Bay vs Holywell is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.