Colwyn Bay vs Holywell: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Holywell. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Holywell?
Colwyn Bay starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Holywell have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Colwyn Bay win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Holywell win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | Holywell 0-2 Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Colwyn Bay 2-0 Holywell | FAW Championship |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Colwyn Bay 1-3 Holywell | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Holywell 1-6 Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Holywell 0-1 Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Colwyn Bay 0-3 Holywell | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holywell vs Colwyn Bay on Mar 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Holywell | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 9th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Holywell sit 15th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Holywell | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Holywell?
- The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Holywell.
- Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Holywell played?
- Colwyn Bay vs Holywell is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.