Cagliari vs Lazio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Unipol Domus, Cagliari
The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lazio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cagliari vs Lazio?
Lazio starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,033 vs 1,907).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cagliari vs Lazio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cagliari
4-3-2-1- 31P. Mendy
- 6H. Winks
- 8M. Adopo
- 4A. Romano
- 70D. Maldini
- 79Y. Massolin
- 15J. Rodríguez
- 2Zé Pedro
- 33A. Obert
- 26Y. Mina
- 1E. Caprile
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cagliari have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lazio have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cagliari wins, 1 draw, 5 Lazio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Cagliari 0-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Lazio 2-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Cagliari 1-2 Lazio | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Lazio 2-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Cagliari 1-3 Lazio | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Lazio 1-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cagliari score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Lazio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cagliari sit 4th in Serie A (13 points from 6 matches) and Lazio sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
A question about Cagliari vs Lazio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Lazio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cagliari.
- Where and when is Cagliari vs Lazio played?
- Cagliari vs Lazio is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Unipol Domus, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.