Inter vs AC Milan: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AC Milan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Inter wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs AC Milan?
Inter starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,232 vs 2,083).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter vs AC Milan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 94F. Esposito
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 22H. Mkhitaryan
- 23N. Barella
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 95A. Bastoni
- 1Josep Martínez
AC Milan
3-4-2-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 21S. Chukwueze
- 2P. Estupiñán
- 12A. Rabiot
- 80Y. Musah
- 22Diego Moreira
- 14L. Modrić
- 31S. Pavlović
- 34Mario Gila
- 5K. De Winter
- 16M. Maignan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; AC Milan have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Inter wins, 3 draws, 3 AC Milan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | AC Milan 1-1 Inter | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2026 | AC Milan 1-0 Inter | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Inter 0-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Inter 0-3 AC Milan | Coppa Italia |
| Apr 2, 2025 | AC Milan 1-1 Inter | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 2, 2025 | AC Milan 1-1 Inter | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 1st in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and AC Milan sit 5th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Inter vs AC Milan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs AC Milan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AC Milan.
- Where and when is Inter vs AC Milan played?
- Inter vs AC Milan is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.