Cagliari vs Novara: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 17, 2011 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Unipol Domus, Cagliari
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What was the result of Cagliari vs Novara?
Cagliari won 2-1 on September 17, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 38′Thiago RibeiroCagliari
- 86′J. LarriveyCagliari
- 88′Takayuki MorimotoNovara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cagliari have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Novara have 0, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2011 | AS Roma(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Parma(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 14, 2011 | AC Milan(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| May 8, 2011 | Cesena(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 1, 2011 | Catania(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2011 | Chievo(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cagliari score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 2.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Novara | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy