Calcio Avola vs Gela: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Gela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calcio Avola wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calcio Avola vs Gela?
On Elo ratings, Calcio Avola has 1,784 points and Gela 1,749.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calcio Avola vs Gela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calcio Avola
Not enough data to predict the Calcio Avola lineup.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Calcio Avola have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Gela have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Enna(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Modica(home) | 0-4 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Modica(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Licata(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Calcio Avola score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 11; Gela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calcio Avola | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 4/11 | 5/11 |
| Gela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calcio Avola sit 4th in Serie D - Girone I (19 points from 10 matches) and Gela sit 10th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Calcio Avola vs Gela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calcio Avola vs Gela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Gela.
- Where and when is Calcio Avola vs Gela played?
- Calcio Avola vs Gela is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.