Gela vs Vigor Lamezia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I · Matchday 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Vigor Lamezia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Vigor Lamezia?
On Elo ratings, Gela has 1,719 points and Vigor Lamezia 1,687.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Vigor Lamezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Vigor Lamezia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Lamezia lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Vigor Lamezia have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Modica(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Licata(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gela win, 0 draws, 1 Vigor Lamezia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia 2-0 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gela 3-0 Vigor Lamezia | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Lamezia vs Gela on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vigor Lamezia score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Vigor Lamezia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 8th in Serie D - Girone I (15 points from 11 matches) and Vigor Lamezia sit 16th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 16 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Gela vs Vigor Lamezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Vigor Lamezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Vigor Lamezia.
- Where and when is Gela vs Vigor Lamezia played?
- Gela vs Vigor Lamezia is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.