Caldas vs Lusitânia: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga 3Relegation Round - 3Kick-off on March 2, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
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What was the result of Caldas vs Lusitânia?
Caldas won 2-1 on March 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′BaleloCaldas
- 16′Celso SidneyLusitânia
- 70′PepoCaldas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldas have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lusitânia have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Academica(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SC Covilha(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Atlético CP(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Academica(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Sporting CP B(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | União Santarém(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Caldas win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lusitânia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | Lusitânia 1-4 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Caldas 1-0 Lusitânia | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caldas score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitânia score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Lusitânia | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Caldas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy