Caldas vs Oliveirense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
The Footlab AI model makes Oliveirense the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Caldas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oliveirense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caldas vs Oliveirense?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Caldas (1,921) and Oliveirense (1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caldas vs Oliveirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caldas
4-3-3- 17Goncas
- 9G. Chaves
- 77G. Pio
- 6Diogo Izata
- 80M. Palmerio
- 5R. Correia
- 3Nando
- 20G. Lourenco
- 56Caio Amaral
- 25L. Farinha
- 12D. Almeida
Oliveirense
3-4-3- 7Y. Rodriguez
- 10Joao Tavares
- 70Kiko Félix
- 8Vasco Braga
- 6J. Daniel
- 17K. Nagata
- 80K. Onohara
- 55Luís Bastos
- 13Vasco de Cunha Santos
- 14Simão Martins
- UUnai Pérez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldas have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Oliveirense have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 2-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Penalva Castelo(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caldas score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oliveirense score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Oliveirense | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caldas sit 6th in Liga 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Oliveirense sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Caldas vs Oliveirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caldas vs Oliveirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oliveirense the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Caldas.
- Where and when is Caldas vs Oliveirense played?
- Caldas vs Oliveirense is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Mata, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.