Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Caldiero Terme. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza?
Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Piacenza have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Crema(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caldiero Terme win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Piacenza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Caldiero Terme 2-1 Piacenza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Piacenza 2-1 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza on Mar 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Piacenza | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza?
- The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Caldiero Terme.
- Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza played?
- Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027ScanzorosciatevsRovato Vertovese
- Feb 21, 2027TritiumvsVirtus Verona
- Feb 21, 2027FiorenzuolavsPavonese
- Feb 21, 2027Real CalepinavsClub Milano
- Feb 21, 2027Leon Monza e BrianzavsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Feb 21, 2027Pro PalazzolovsVilla Valle
- Feb 21, 2027Milan IIvsChievo
- Feb 21, 2027Nibbiano & ValtidonevsBrusaporto