Piacenza vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Leonardo Garilli, Piacenza
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Caldiero Terme. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piacenza vs Caldiero Terme?
Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piacenza have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Crema(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Piacenza win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Caldiero Terme win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Caldiero Terme 2-1 Piacenza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Piacenza 2-1 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Piacenza on Mar 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piacenza | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piacenza vs Caldiero Terme?
- The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Caldiero Terme.
- Where and when is Piacenza vs Caldiero Terme played?
- Piacenza vs Caldiero Terme is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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