Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alliance Park, Motherwell
The Footlab model makes Caledonian Braves the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart?
Caledonian Braves starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,470).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caledonian Braves have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Newton Stewart have 1, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Clydebank(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Beith(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 6-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 0-9 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Caledonian Braves win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Newton Stewart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2022 | Caledonian Braves 6-1 Newton Stewart | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart on Sep 17, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Caledonian Braves score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caledonian Braves | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Newton Stewart | 0.8 | 3.6 | 1 | 7/13 | 12/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caledonian Braves sit 7th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 6 matches) and Newton Stewart sit 32nd (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caledonian Braves | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart?
- The Footlab model makes Caledonian Braves the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Newton Stewart.
- Where and when is Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart played?
- Caledonian Braves vs Newton Stewart is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alliance Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
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