Newton Stewart vs Celtic II: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Blairmount Park, Newton Stewart
The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newton Stewart vs Celtic II?
Celtic II starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,658 vs 1,470).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Newton Stewart have 1 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Celtic II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 0-9 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 5-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 13; Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Stewart | 0.8 | 3.6 | 1 | 7/13 | 12/13 |
| Celtic II | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newton Stewart sit 32nd in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 4 matches) and Celtic II sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtic II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newton Stewart vs Celtic II?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Newton Stewart.
- Where and when is Newton Stewart vs Celtic II played?
- Newton Stewart vs Celtic II is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Blairmount Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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