Canada vs Guatemala: result 1-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on January 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
Full time
What was the result of Canada vs Guatemala?
Canada won 1-0 on January 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 66′J. Russell-RoweCanada
Official lineup for Canada vs Guatemala
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Canada
4-4-2- 11R. Elloumi
- 9J. Russell-Rowe
- 7J. Nelson
- 6M. Choinière
- 21J. Osorio
- 17Shola Jimoh
- 3Z. Bassong
- 4K. Miller
- 8R. Priso
- 22R. Laryea
- 16J. Pantemis
Guatemala
4-3-3- 19M. Avila
- 14D. Lom
- 18Ó. Santis
- 11R. Muñoz
- 22J. Franco
- 17Ó. Castellanos
- 16J. Morales
- 3N. Samayoa
- 4J. Pinto
- 2J. Ardón
- 12K. Navarro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canada have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Guatemala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | Venezuela(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Ecuador(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Colombia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Australia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Wales(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | Suriname(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Panama(home) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 15, 2025 | El Salvador(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Suriname(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Panama(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Canada wins, 2 draws, 0 Guatemala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2025 | Canada 1-1 Guatemala | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Guatemala 0-0 Canada | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Canada score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guatemala score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Guatemala | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Canada vs Guatemala?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy