Cantolagua vs Bidezarra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, Sangüesa
The Footlab AI model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cantolagua. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bidezarra wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cantolagua vs Bidezarra?
Bidezarra starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,577).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cantolagua vs Bidezarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cantolagua
4-3-3- FFermin Guallar
- DDani Navarrete
- JJavi Ayesa
- AAitor Macho
- XXabier Ormaechea
- AAnder Blanco
- JJulen Úriz
- IIker Pérez
- JJulián García
- IIñigo Amores
- AAlejandro Garrido
Bidezarra
Not enough data to predict the Bidezarra lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cantolagua have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Bidezarra have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cantolagua wins, 3 draws, 1 Bidezarra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Cantolagua 2-1 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Bidezarra 2-2 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Cantolagua 0-0 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Bidezarra 1-1 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Cantolagua 2-1 Bidezarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Bidezarra 2-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Cantolagua vs Bidezarra on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cantolagua score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bidezarra score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantolagua | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bidezarra | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cantolagua sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (3 points from 6 matches) and Bidezarra sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bidezarra | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Cantolagua | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Cantolagua vs Bidezarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cantolagua vs Bidezarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cantolagua.
- Where and when is Cantolagua vs Bidezarra played?
- Cantolagua vs Bidezarra is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.