Cantolagua vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, Sangüesa
The Footlab model makes Subiza the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cantolagua. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cantolagua vs Subiza?
Subiza starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cantolagua have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Subiza have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Pamplona(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 1, 2025 | Cirbonero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cortes(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Valle Egüés(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Txantrea(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cantolagua win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Subiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Subiza 3-1 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Cantolagua 2-1 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Cantolagua 0-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Subiza 3-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Subiza 1-1 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Cantolagua 1-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cantolagua score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantolagua | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Subiza | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Subiza | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 31 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cantolagua vs Subiza?
- The Footlab model makes Subiza the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cantolagua.
- Where and when is Cantolagua vs Subiza played?
- Cantolagua vs Subiza is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.