Capalaba vs Grange Thistle: result 3-2 and analysis
Brisbane Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on March 11, 2017 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Max Haynes Field, Redland
Full time
What was the result of Capalaba vs Grange Thistle?
Capalaba won 3-2 on March 11, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Capalaba have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Grange Thistle have 0, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | Eastern Suburbs(home) | 0-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Lions(home) | 0-7 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2017 | Holland Park Hawks(away) | 0-8 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Univ. Queensland(away) | 0-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Ipswich Knights(home) | 2-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | Peninsula Power(away) | 1-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Logan Lightning(away) | 3-5 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Mitchelton(home) | 1-3 | Brisbane Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Capalaba score 2.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grange Thistle score 1.7 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capalaba | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Grange Thistle | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0 | 3/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy