Capivariano vs Comercial: result 2-0 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 1Kick-off on January 17, 2024 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena Capivari, Capivari, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Capivariano vs Comercial?
Capivariano won 2-0 on January 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 9′BrayanCapivariano
- 50′Neto CostaCapivariano (pen.)
Official lineup for Capivariano vs Comercial
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Capivariano
- NNeto Costa
- BBruno Silva
- BBrayan
- PPaulinho
- TThiago Henrique
- CCarlos Eduardo
- LLeonan
- LLuis Gustavo
- JJemmes
- MMatheus Montagnine
- AAnderson
Comercial
- FFidel
- LLuís Felipe
- WWillyam
- GGabriel Hilario
- DDiego
- LLucão
- IIgor Miranda
- JJúnior Sergipano
- LLéo Santos
- LLuiz Henrique Motta
- AAllan Thiago
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Capivariano have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Comercial have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | São José EC(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 6, 2023 | São José EC(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Noroeste(away) | 0-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Sao Bento(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Mirassol B(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Grêmio Prudente(home) | 1-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Marília(away) | 2-2 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Capivariano win, 0 draws, 2 Comercial wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | Comercial 2-1 Capivariano | Paulista - A3 |
| May 8, 2021 | Capivariano 2-1 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Comercial 2-1 Capivariano | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Comercial vs Capivariano on Mar 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Capivariano score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capivariano | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Comercial | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Capivariano | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
A question about Capivariano vs Comercial?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy