Monte Azul vs Ferroviária: result 1-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 1Kick-off on January 17, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Otacília Patrício Arroyo, Monte Azul Paulista, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Monte Azul vs Ferroviária?
Monte Azul and Ferroviária drew 1-1 on January 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 12′WallaceMonte Azul
- 51′Vitor BarretoFerroviária
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monte Azul have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ferroviária have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | EC Lemense(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Linense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Noroeste(away) | 3-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | Ferroviario(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Ferroviario(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Athletic Club(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 6, 2023 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Sousa(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Monte Azul score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviária score 1.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Azul | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ferroviária | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monte Azul sit 14th in Paulista - A2 (12 points from 15 matches) and Ferroviária sit 2nd (28 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferroviária | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
| 14 | Monte Azul | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy