Capivariano vs Marília: result 4-1 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 13Kick-off on September 25, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena Capivari, Capivari, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Capivariano vs Marília?
Capivariano won 4-1 on September 25, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 15′André HenriqueCapivariano
- 16′Douglas NettoCapivariano
- 45′André HenriqueCapivariano
- 45′Maicon AssisMarília (pen.)
- 53′André HenriqueCapivariano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Capivariano have 5 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Marília have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2020 | Rio Preto(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Nacional SP(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Noroeste(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Paulista(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Comercial(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2020 | Grêmio Osasco(home) | 5-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Comercial(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Nacional SP(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Rio Preto(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Paulista(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Capivariano score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 12; Marília score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capivariano | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/12 | 3/12 |
| Marília | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy