Comercial vs Primavera SP: result 3-2 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 13Kick-off on September 26, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
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What was the result of Comercial vs Primavera SP?
Comercial won 3-2 on September 26, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 24′Thiago NonatoPrimavera SP
- 37′Lucas Fernando de Britto LinoComercial
- 45′Leandro de JesusComercial
- 68′WagnerPrimavera SP
- 88′Leandro de JesusComercial
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Primavera SP have 4, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2020 | Noroeste(away) | 3-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Marília(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Barretos(away) | 2-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Linense(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Capivariano(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2020 | Velo Clube(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Linense(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Paulista(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Barretos(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Olímpia(away) | 2-2 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; Primavera SP score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/12 | 8/12 |
| Primavera SP | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/12 | 4/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy