Caracas FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva: prediction and stats
Copa VenezuelaRound 1 - Group CKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
The Footlab model makes Caracas FC the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Fundación Lara Deportiva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Caracas FC (1,670) and Fundación Lara Deportiva (1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caracas FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Fundación Lara Deportiva have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Carabobo FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Yaracuyanos FC(away) | 3-2 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCV(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico el Vigia FC(away) | 2-5 | Segunda División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Aragua FC(away) | 1-0 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atletico Barinas(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Urena SC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Zamora FC B(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Caracas FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fundación Lara Deportiva score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caracas FC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Fundación Lara Deportiva | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caracas FC sit 1st in Copa Venezuela (4 points from 2 matches) and Fundación Lara Deportiva sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caracas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caracas FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
- The Footlab model makes Caracas FC the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Fundación Lara Deportiva.
- Where and when is Caracas FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva played?
- Caracas FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva is played on August 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, in the Copa Venezuela.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jun 24, 2026Caracas FC1-1Aragua FC
- Jun 24, 2026Fundación Lara Deportiva0-4Yaracuyanos FC
- Jul 5, 2026Yaracuyanos FCvsAragua FC
- Jul 5, 2026Fundación Lara DeportivavsCaracas FC
- Jul 8, 2026Caracas FCvsYaracuyanos FC
- Jul 8, 2026Fundación Lara DeportivavsAragua FC
- Jul 12, 2026Aragua FCvsCaracas FC
- Jul 12, 2026Yaracuyanos FCvsFundación Lara Deportiva