Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
The Footlab model makes Caracas FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Portuguesa FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Caracas FC (1,670) and Portuguesa FC (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caracas FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Portuguesa FC have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Carabobo FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Yaracuyanos FC(away) | 3-2 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCV(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trujillanos FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Academia Anzoátegui(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportivo Tachira FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Carabobo FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| May 30, 2026 | UCV(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Caracas FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Portuguesa FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Portuguesa FC 1-1 Caracas FC | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Caracas FC 2-0 Portuguesa FC | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Portuguesa FC 0-2 Caracas FC | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Portuguesa FC 0-1 Caracas FC | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Caracas FC 0-1 Portuguesa FC | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Portuguesa FC 3-1 Caracas FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Portuguesa FC vs Caracas FC on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caracas FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portuguesa FC score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caracas FC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Portuguesa FC | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caracas FC sit 10th in Primera División (15 points from 13 matches) and Portuguesa FC sit 5th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Portuguesa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 4 | Portuguesa FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 20 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC?
- The Footlab model makes Caracas FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Portuguesa FC.
- Where and when is Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC played?
- Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.