Match

Cardiff City U21 vs Leicester City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff International Sports Stadium, Cardiff (Caerdydd)

Cardiff City U21Leicester City U21

The Footlab model makes Cardiff City U21 the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Leicester City U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cardiff City U21 vs Leicester City U21?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Cardiff City U21 (1,770) and Leicester City U21 (1,787).

Cardiff City U21 win44 %
Draw23 %
Leicester City U21 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff City U21 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Leicester City U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cardiff City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Barnsley U21(home)1-2Professional Development League
Aug 14, 2026AFC Bournemouth U21(home)4-1Premier League Cup
Aug 8, 2026Fulham U21(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Liverpool U21(away)4-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Torquay(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Leicester City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Sutton Utd(away)0-0National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Plymouth U21(home)3-1Premier League Cup
Apr 24, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 13, 2026Leeds United U21(away)3-2Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 20, 2026Aston Villa U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Cardiff City U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester City U21 score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cardiff City U211.31.739/159/15
Leicester City U212.01.5311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cardiff City U21 sit 3rd in Premier League Cup (7 points from 6 matches) and Leicester City U21 sit 3rd (6 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Leicester City U2162041196
3Cardiff City U21621315127

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cardiff City U21 vs Leicester City U21?
The Footlab model makes Cardiff City U21 the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Leicester City U21.
Where and when is Cardiff City U21 vs Leicester City U21 played?
Cardiff City U21 vs Leicester City U21 is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Cardiff International Sports Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cardiff City U21 and Leicester City U21

Ready to know everything about football?