Cardiff City U21 vs Swansea City U21: prediction and stats
Professional Development LeagueGroup StageKick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff International Sports Stadium, Cardiff (Caerdydd)
The Footlab model makes Cardiff City U21 the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Swansea City U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff City U21 vs Swansea City U21?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Cardiff City U21 (1,778) and Swansea City U21 (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff City U21 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Swansea City U21 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wigan Athletic U21(away) | 5-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Barnsley U21(home) | 1-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(home) | 4-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Liverpool U21(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Peterborough United U21(home) | 2-3 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sheffield United U21(home) | 0-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 3-0 | Premier League Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Norwich City U21(away) | 0-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 2-0 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cardiff City U21 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Swansea City U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Swansea City U21 1-1 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Cardiff City U21 0-1 Swansea City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Cardiff City U21 2-1 Swansea City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Swansea City U21 0-1 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Swansea City U21 2-2 Cardiff City U21 | Professional Development League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Cardiff City U21 3-0 Swansea City U21 | Professional Development League |
Last archived meeting: Swansea City U21 vs Cardiff City U21 on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff City U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea City U21 score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City U21 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Swansea City U21 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff City U21 sit 4th in Professional Development League (3 points from 2 matches) and Swansea City U21 sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cardiff City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Swansea City U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff City U21 vs Swansea City U21?
- The Footlab model makes Cardiff City U21 the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Swansea City U21.
- Where and when is Cardiff City U21 vs Swansea City U21 played?
- Cardiff City U21 vs Swansea City U21 is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Cardiff International Sports Stadium, in the Professional Development League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U21vsWigan Athletic U21
- Sep 13, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U21vsCharlton Athletic U21
- Sep 13, 2026Queens Park Rangers U21vsFleetwood Town U21
- Sep 14, 2026Swansea City U21vsHuddersfield Town U21
- Sep 14, 2026Sheffield United U21vsCardiff City U21
- Sep 15, 2026Coventry City U21vsBarnsley U21
- Sep 15, 2026Peterborough United U21vsBristol City U21
- Sep 15, 2026Millwall U21vsBolton Wanderers Res.