Cardiff MET vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: result 0-2 and analysis
Welsh CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 5, 2016 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, Caerdydd
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What was the result of Cardiff MET vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
GAP Connah S Quay FC won 0-2 on March 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 45′Nathan WoolfeGAP Connah S Quay FC
- 56′C. MorrisGAP Connah S Quay FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Cardiff MET have 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; GAP Connah S Quay FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2016 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 5, 2015 | STM Sports(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Penybont(home) | 4-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Llantwit Fardre(away) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Airbus UK(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Llandudno(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2016 | Buckley Town(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Jan 29, 2016 | The New Saints(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff MET score 3.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 11; GAP Connah S Quay FC score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MET | 3.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy