Match

Cardiff MET vs Airbus UK: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, Caerdydd

Cardiff METAirbus UK

The Footlab model makes Airbus UK the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff MET. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cardiff MET vs Airbus UK?

Airbus UK starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,807).

Cardiff MET win30 %
Draw25 %
Airbus UK win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff MET have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Airbus UK have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cardiff MET
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026The New Saints(home)0-5Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Barry Town(away)0-1Premier League
Aug 7, 2026Airbus UK(away)2-0Premier League
Aug 1, 2026Holywell(home)6-1Premier League
Apr 18, 2026Flint Town United(home)2-2Premier League
Airbus UK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Colwyn Bay(away)0-1Premier League
Aug 14, 2026Ammanford AFC(home)2-0Premier League
Aug 7, 2026Cardiff MET(home)0-2Premier League
Aug 1, 2026Haverfordwest County AFC(away)1-0Premier League
Apr 18, 2026Llandudno(home)3-1FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cardiff MET win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Airbus UK win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Airbus UK 0-2 Cardiff METPremier League
Jan 21, 2023Cardiff MET 3-1 Airbus UKPremier League
Jan 7, 2023Airbus UK 0-2 Cardiff METPremier League
Feb 22, 2020Cardiff MET 1-1 Airbus UKPremier League
Oct 5, 2019Airbus UK 1-1 Cardiff METPremier League
Aug 26, 2019Cardiff MET 1-0 Airbus UKPremier League

Last archived meeting: Airbus UK vs Cardiff MET on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cardiff MET score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Airbus UK score 2.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cardiff MET1.31.519/156/15
Airbus UK2.90.694/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cardiff MET sit 10th in Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and Airbus UK sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Cardiff MET4202876
11Airbus UK4202336

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cardiff MET vs Airbus UK?
The Footlab model makes Airbus UK the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff MET.
Where and when is Cardiff MET vs Airbus UK played?
Cardiff MET vs Airbus UK is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cardiff MET and Airbus UK

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