Cardiff vs Carlisle: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 4, 2020 at 03:01 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff vs Carlisle?
Cardiff and Carlisle drew 2-2 on January 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 12′J. BridgeCarlisle
- 45′H. McKirdyCarlisle
- 50′C. PatersonCardiff
- 55′G. WhyteCardiff
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Carlisle have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2020 | QPR(away) | 1-6 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Preston(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2020 | Crewe(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Walsall(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Colchester(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy