Rochdale vs Newcastle: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 4, 2020 at 12:31 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Rochdale vs Newcastle?
Rochdale and Newcastle drew 1-1 on January 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 17′M. AlmirónNewcastle
- 79′Aaron WilbrahamRochdale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Newcastle have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2020 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Gillingham(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Dec 16, 2019 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2020 | Leicester(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2019 | Everton(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Manchester United(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Crystal Palace(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Burnley(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy