Cardiff vs Watford: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 7, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff vs Watford?
Cardiff and Watford drew 1-1 on October 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 26′M. McGuinnessCardiff
- 54′V. BayoWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Watford have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Blackburn(away) | 2-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sunderland(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Coventry(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2023 | Sunderland(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Leeds(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2023 | West Brom(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Birmingham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cardiff win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2023 | Watford 1-3 Cardiff | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Cardiff 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Cardiff 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Watford 0-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2019 | Cardiff 1-5 Watford | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Watford 3-2 Cardiff | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Watford | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 12th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy