Cardiff vs Watford: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 7, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff vs Watford?
Cardiff and Watford drew 1-1 on October 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 26′M. McGuinnessCardiff
- 54′V. BayoWatford
Official lineup for Cardiff vs Watford
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Cardiff
4-3-3- 16K. Ahearne-Grant
- 12I. Ugbo
- 32O. Tanner
- 8J. Ralls
- 23M. Siopis
- 6R. Wintle
- 17J. Collins
- 5M. McGuinness
- 4D. Goutas
- 38P. Ng
- 21J. Alnwick
Watford
4-3-3- 37Matheus Martins
- 19V. Bayo
- 18Y. Asprilla
- 24T. Dele-Bashiru
- 8J. Livermore
- 39E. Kayembe
- 6J. Lewis
- 4W. Hoedt
- 3F. Sierralta
- 2J. Ngakia
- 1D. Bachmann
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Watford have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Blackburn(away) | 2-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sunderland(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Coventry(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2023 | Sunderland(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Leeds(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2023 | West Brom(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Birmingham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cardiff wins, 0 draws, 4 Watford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2023 | Watford 1-3 Cardiff | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Cardiff 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Cardiff 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Watford 0-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2019 | Cardiff 1-5 Watford | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Watford 3-2 Cardiff | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Watford | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 19th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Watford sit 20th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Cardiff vs Watford?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy