Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe FC: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Comunal Bernardo Veach, Cariari
The Footlab model makes Cariari Pococi the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Guadalupe FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe FC?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Cariari Pococi (1,541) and Guadalupe FC (1,533).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cariari Pococi have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Guadalupe FC have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 29, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | AD Carmelita(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aserri FC(home) | 0-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 0-5 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cariari Pococi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Guadalupe FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Guadalupe FC 0-0 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Cariari Pococi 3-1 Guadalupe FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Cariari Pococi 3-1 Guadalupe FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Guadalupe FC 3-0 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Guadalupe FC 3-0 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Cariari Pococi 1-2 Guadalupe FC | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Guadalupe FC vs Cariari Pococi on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cariari Pococi score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalupe FC score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cariari Pococi | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadalupe FC | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cariari Pococi sit 6th in Liga de Ascenso (6 points from 2 matches) and Guadalupe FC sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cariari Pococi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Guadalupe FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe FC?
- The Footlab model makes Cariari Pococi the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Guadalupe FC.
- Where and when is Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe FC played?
- Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Comunal Bernardo Veach, in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.