Carlisle vs Barrow: result 1-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 3, 2020 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Barrow?
Carlisle won 1-0 on October 3, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 24′J. MellishCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Barrow have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2020 | Scunthorpe(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Southend(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Cambridge United(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Oldham(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2020 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Newport County(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Blackpool(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Derby(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Barrow | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45 | 78 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy