Carlisle vs Sutton Utd: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carlisle vs Sutton Utd?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,802).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carlisle vs Sutton Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 14O. Mussa
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 12D. Urpens
- 1S. Brits
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sutton Utd have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 3-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carlisle win, 2 draws, 3 Sutton Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Carlisle 3-0 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sutton Utd 2-1 Carlisle | National League |
| May 8, 2023 | Sutton Utd 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Carlisle 1-1 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Carlisle 0-2 Sutton Utd | League Two |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Sutton Utd 4-0 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Sutton Utd on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sutton Utd score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Sutton Utd | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 14th in National League (17 points from 13 matches) and Sutton Utd sit 13th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
A question about Carlisle vs Sutton Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carlisle vs Sutton Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Carlisle vs Sutton Utd played?
- Carlisle vs Sutton Utd is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brunton Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.