Carlisle vs Crawley Town: result 0-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Crawley Town?
Crawley Town won 0-2 on September 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 64′N. ByrneCrawley Town
- 73′Nicholas Willia AdamsCrawley Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Crawley Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2012 | Tottenham(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Coventry(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Swindon Town(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2012 | Swansea(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Tranmere(home) | 2-5 | League One |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Preston(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-3 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy